OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
- Current leader
- OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 48%
- Largest 24h move
- OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 +2%
- 24h volume
- 1.4K
- Liquidity
- 83.2K
Top candidates
7 outcomes
OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026
48%
+2% 24h
OpenAI's market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day
14%
0% 24h
OpenAI's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day
10%
+0% 24h
OpenAI's market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day
8%
-2% 24h
OpenAI's market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day
6%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
OpenAI's market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day
3%
0%
OpenAI's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day
2%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves No
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Read the complete resolution rules
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session.
If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026 probability of 83%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline