By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
Current leader
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1 outcome
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 2%, down 4.0 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 6% → 2%
-4.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 2%, down 4.0 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 6.0% → 2.0%
Probability moved from 6% to 2% (-4 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 19 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 10:10:33 UTC to 2026-10-10 10:20:52 UTC.
Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (, specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the video "Eat Everything In A Grocery Store, Win $1,000,000" by MrBeast (see:.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? — probability falls to 2%
Keep exploring
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Surge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Surge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Surge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
Plunge# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Even Higher Brackets)
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