closedEsports

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 15, 2026, 4:27 AM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted.

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move-1.5 pp 24h

24h volume: $3.6K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 18, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?
+1.5 pp 24h100%
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?
-1.5 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 15

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? — probability rises to 88.6%

The tracked probability rose to 88.6%, up 6.7 percentage points from 81.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 82% → 89%

+6.7 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 82.0% → 88.6%
What changed
Probability moved from 81.95% to 88.6% (+6.65 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 18 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 04:17:06 UTC to 2026-10-15 04:27:24 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast Gaming does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast Gaming's YouTube channel (, specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast Gaming's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Maps and resolution sources

@MrBeastGamingyoutube.com

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1? — probability rises to 88.6%

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