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Maple Leafs vs. Utah

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 9:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs".

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+70.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Maple Leafs vs. Utah: O/U 7.5

    +70.5 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Maple Leafs vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

The observed probability rose from 89% to 99.95%, an increase of 10.95 percentage points.

Over: 89% → 100%

+10.9 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The observed probability rose from 89% to 99.95%, an increase of 10.95 percentage points.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.

    The measured move

    Over: 89.0% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 89% to 99.95% (+10.95 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 58 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 03:06:02 UTC to 2026-10-14 03:21:00 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 9:00PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Utah win, the market will resolve to "Utah". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Maple Leafs vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

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Recent market explanations

Surge

Maple Leafs vs. Utah: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

Maple Leafs vs. Utah

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