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Kraken vs. Red Wings

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken".

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+75.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$92K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5

    +75.0 pp 24h100%

  • Kraken vs. Red Wings

    +57.5 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeWell sourced

Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 14.5 percentage points from 85.5% in the latest observation window. Only background evidence is available, so it is not used to explain the repricing.

Over: 86% → 100%

+14.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Monitoring

PolySays is monitoring this market.

No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.

No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. The supplied source is background rather than direct evidence of the underlying development. It is retained as context and is not used to infer a cause for the repricing.

    The measured move

    Over: 85.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 85.5% to 99.95% (+14.45 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 38 seconds apart: 2026-10-10 01:10:22 UTC to 2026-10-10 01:41:00 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 9 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Surge

Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5 — probability rises to 99.95%

Kraken vs. Red Wings

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