This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 50 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Current leader
6.3%
6%
3 outcomes
Will Elias Pettersson (1998) record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
Will Bryan Rust record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
Will Mitchell Marner record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 3.05%, down 46.9 percentage points from 49.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 50% → 3%
-46.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 3.05%, down 46.9 percentage points from 49.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.95% to 3.05% (-46.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T09:47:18.552Z to 2026-10-30T10:02:08.534Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 49.95% → 3.05%
Probability moved from 49.95% to 3.05% (-46.9 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 09:47:18 UTC to 2026-10-30 10:02:08 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 49.95% (+46.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T09:33:43.241Z to 2026-10-30T09:47:18.552Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 3.05% (-46.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T09:19:56.157Z to 2026-10-30T09:33:43.241Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.5% to 50% (+47.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T09:03:00.745Z to 2026-10-30T09:19:56.157Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 2.5% (-47.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T08:49:27.437Z to 2026-10-30T09:03:00.745Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.5% to 50% (+47.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T08:32:09.872Z to 2026-10-30T08:49:27.437Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50.1% to 2.5% (-47.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T08:04:44.406Z to 2026-10-30T08:19:35.196Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.1% to 50.1% (+47 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T07:20:42.307Z to 2026-10-30T07:48:08.397Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player records 50 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to record 50 or more goals during the 2026-27 NHL regular season, the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NHL regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed player has recorded 50 or more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 11 significant updates
Will Mitchell Marner record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? — probability falls to 3.05%
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