In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders".
Current leader
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1 outcome
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 4.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 5.9 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 6% → 0%
-5.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 5.9 percentage points from 6% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6% to 0.05% (-5.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T01:32:23.642Z to 2026-10-16T02:00:20.496Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 6% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 6% to 0.05% (-5.95 percentage points). Observations were 27 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 01:32:23 UTC to 2026-10-16 02:00:20 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 15 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Islanders vs. Senators: O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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