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Golden Knights vs. Predators

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 8:45PM ET: If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights".

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+68.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$61.8K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

    +68.5 pp 24h100%

  • Golden Knights vs. Predators: O/U 6.5

    +53.4 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 99.95%, compared with 88% at the start of the window.

Golden Knights: 88% → 100%

+12.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 99.95%, compared with 88% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Golden Knights: 88.0% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 88% to 99.95% (+11.95 percentage points). Observations were 24 minutes 29 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 03:06:02 UTC to 2026-10-14 03:30:31 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 13 at 8:45PM ET: If the Golden Knights win, the market will resolve to "Golden Knights". If the Predators win, the market will resolve to "Predators". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Surge

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%

Golden Knights vs. Predators

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