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Commanders vs. 49ers - Player Props

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Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+73.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$22.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

10 outcomes

  • Christian McCaffrey: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5

    +73.0 pp 24h100%
  • Brock Purdy: Passing Yards O/U 249.5

    +72.5 pp 24h100%
  • Jayden Daniels: Passing Yards O/U 224.5

    +71.0 pp 24h100%
  • George Kittle: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5

    +69.0 pp 24h100%
  • Terry McLaurin: Longest Reception O/U 19.5

    +67.0 pp 24h100%
Show all outcomes
  • Kaelon Black: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5

    100%

    +65.5 pp

  • Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5

    100%

    +63.0 pp

  • Rachaad White: Anytime Touchdown

    100%

    +61.5 pp

  • Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.5

    100%

    +54.5 pp

  • Mike Evans: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5

    0%

    -25.9 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%

The tracked probability rose to 100%, up 9.0 percentage points from 91% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 91% → 100%

+9.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 100%, up 9.0 percentage points from 91% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 91% to 100% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T04:17:31.992Z to 2026-10-20T04:30:42.004Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Over: 91% → 100%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 91% to 100% (+9 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 10 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 04:17:31 UTC to 2026-10-20 04:30:42 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 91.5% to 100% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:21:30.605Z to 2026-10-20T04:01:38.825Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 92% to 100% (+8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:21:30.605Z to 2026-10-20T04:01:38.825Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 96% to 100% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:32:32.413Z to 2026-10-20T03:47:17.584Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 91.5% to 100% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:32:32.413Z to 2026-10-20T03:47:17.584Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 92% to 100% (+8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:32:32.413Z to 2026-10-20T03:47:17.584Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 8.5% to 1.2% (-7.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:21:30.605Z to 2026-10-20T03:32:32.413Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 94.5% to 98% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T03:00:44.884Z to 2026-10-20T03:21:30.605Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Commanders and 49ers, scheduled for October 19 at 8:15 PM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Christian McCaffrey: Receptions O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%

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