In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.
Current leader
100%
100%
12 outcomes
2Q Spread: Broncos (-10.5)
1H Spread: Broncos (-10.5)
2Q Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
1H Spread: Broncos (-9.5)
1H Spread: Broncos (-7.5)
2Q Spread: Broncos (-6.5)
100%
+80.5 pp
1H Spread: Broncos (-6.5)
100%
+76.5 pp
1H Spread: Broncos (-4.5)
100%
+73.6 pp
2Q Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
100%
+72.0 pp
Broncos 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5
100%
+70.5 pp
1H Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
100%
+68.0 pp
2Q Spread: Broncos (-2.5)
100%
+64.0 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0%, down 31.9 percentage points from 31.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 32% → 0%
-31.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0%, down 31.9 percentage points from 31.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 31.95% to 0% (-31.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z to 2026-10-16T03:48:26.058Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 31.95% → 0%
Probability moved from 31.95% to 0% (-31.95 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 03:17:35 UTC to 2026-10-16 03:48:26 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 16% to 0.5% (-15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:06:40.575Z to 2026-10-16T03:34:35.290Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 9.5% (-40.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z to 2026-10-16T03:34:35.290Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 9.5% (-40.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z to 2026-10-16T03:34:35.290Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 9.5% (-40.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z to 2026-10-16T03:34:35.290Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 9% to 31.95% (+22.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T02:46:33.864Z to 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.5% to 0% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T02:46:33.864Z to 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.5% to 12% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T03:06:40.575Z to 2026-10-16T03:17:35.924Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming NFL football game between Seahawks and Broncos, scheduled for October 15 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. This market will resolve to "Broncos" if Broncos win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 34.5 — probability falls to 0%
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