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Eagles vs. Jaguars

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+87.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • 1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5)

    +87.0 pp 24h100%
  • 1H Spread: Eagles (-6.5)

    +65.0 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgePartly sourced

1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5) — probability rises to 100%

The tracked probability rose to 100%, up 37.5 percentage points from 62.55% in the latest observation window. Only background evidence is available, so it is not used to explain the repricing.

Eagles: 63% → 100%

+37.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 72.7%, down 26.3 percentage points from 98.95% in the latest observation window. Only background evidence is available, so it is not used to explain the repricing.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. The supplied source is background rather than direct evidence of the underlying development. It is retained as context and is not used to infer a cause for the repricing.

    The measured move

    Eagles: 62.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 62.55% to 100% (+37.45 percentage points). Observations were 20 minutes 7 seconds apart: 2026-10-11 16:10:26 UTC to 2026-10-11 16:30:33 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NFL football game between Eagles and Jaguars, scheduled for October 11 at 9:30AM ET: This market will resolve to "Eagles" if Eagles win the game. This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if Jaguars win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 4 significant updates

1H Spread: Eagles (-4.5) — probability rises to 100%

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