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Cowboys vs. Packers

Post

In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move-78.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$119.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

6 outcomes

  • Spread: Packers (-5.5)

    +67.0 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Packers (-4.5)

    +66.0 pp 24h100%
  • Spread: Packers (-3.5)

    +63.5 pp 24h100%
  • Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 42.5

    -78.5 pp 24h0%
  • Cowboys Team Total: O/U 20.5

    -73.5 pp 24h0%
Show all outcomes
  • Cowboys Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5

    0%

    -50.0 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 — probability falls to 0%

The tracked probability fell to 0%, down 3.1 percentage points from 3.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Over: 3% → 0%

-3.1 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 0%, down 3.1 percentage points from 3.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 3.15% to 0% (-3.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z to 2026-10-19T04:01:27.980Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Over: 3.15% → 0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 3.15% to 0% (-3.15 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 30 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 03:30:58 UTC to 2026-10-19 04:01:27 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 13% to 0.05% (-12.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:16:20.130Z to 2026-10-19T03:46:37.967Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 26% to 3.15% (-22.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 87% to 98.5% (+11.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 89% to 99.5% (+10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 87% to 99.5% (+12.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 20% to 13% (-7 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:16:20.130Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 87.5% to 100% (+12.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T01:47:04.748Z to 2026-10-19T02:18:02.573Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NFL football game between Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cowboys" if Cowboys win the game. This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 10 significant updates

Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 — probability falls to 0%

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