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Bills vs. Rams

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+50.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5

    +50.0 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 100%, compared with 90.5% at the start of the window.

Over: 91% → 100%

+9.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0%, compared with 32% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Over: 90.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 50 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 04:25:29 UTC to 2026-10-13 04:40:19 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Rams, scheduled for October 12 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game. This market will resolve to "Rams" if Rams win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 5 significant updates

Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Surge

Bills Total Touchdowns: O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 100%

Bills vs. Rams

Plunge

3Q Spread: Rams (-6.5) — probability falls to 0%

Bills vs. Rams

Plunge

3Q Spread: Rams (-3.5) — probability falls to 0%

Bills vs. Rams

Plunge

3Q Spread: Rams (-3.5) — probability falls to 20%

Bills vs. Rams

Plunge

3Q Spread: Rams (-6.5) — probability falls to 32%

Bills vs. Rams

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