Next French Presidential Election
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.
- Current leader
- Jordan Bardella 25%
- Largest 24h move
- Édouard Philippe -1%
- 24h volume
- 343.1K
- Liquidity
- 10.9M
Top candidates
36 outcomes
Jordan Bardella
25%
+0% 24h
Édouard Philippe
19%
-1% 24h
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
12%
0% 24h
Marine Le Pen
7%
+0% 24h
Gabriel Attal
4%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Dominique de Villepin
4%
0%
François Hollande
3%
+0%
Bruno Retailleau
2%
0%
Sarah Knafo
2%
0%
David Lisnard
2%
0%
Raphaël Glucksmann
2%
0%
Éric Zemmour
1%
0%
Laurent Wauquiez
1%
0%
Michel Barnier
1%
0%
Gérald Darmanin
1%
0%
Bernard Cazeneuve
1%
0%
Fabien Roussel
1%
0%
François Asselineau
1%
0%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
1%
0%
Valérie Pécresse
1%
0%
Élisabeth Borne
1%
0%
Jean Castex
1%
0%
Carole Delga
1%
0%
Manuel Bompard
1%
0%
Juan Branco
1%
0%
Sébastien Lecornu
1%
0%
Xavier Bertrand
1%
0%
François Ruffin
1%
0%
Marine Tondelier
1%
0%
Olivier Faure
1%
0%
Ségolène Royal
1%
0%
Clémentine Autain
1%
0%
François Bayrou
1%
0%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
1%
0%
Mathilde Panot
1%
0%
Clémence Guetté
1%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round.
If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Read the complete resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Jordan Bardella probability of 4%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline