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activeFinance+36.5 pp 24h

Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above___?

By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.

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Current leader
74%Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,040?
Largest 24h move
+36.5 pp
24h volume
105.9
Liquidity
1.2K

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,040?

74%

+36.5 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.

If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price.

If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,040? — probability falls to 74%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.

Story so far

Published update

The tracked probability fell to 74%, down 5.5 percentage points from 79.5% in the latest observation window. The reason for this decrease has not been verified.

This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.

Latest published update

Published

Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,040? — probability falls to 74%

The tracked probability fell to 74%, down 5.5 percentage points from 79.5% in the latest observation window. The reason for this decrease has not been verified.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This update compares two recorded prices. A price change does not, by itself, confirm a development in the underlying event.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 79.5% to 74% (-5.5 percentage points). Observations were 31 minutes 5 seconds apart: 2026-10-08 10:52:50 UTC to 2026-10-08 11:23:55 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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