Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyToronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
The observed probability fell from 48.8% to 0.05%, a decrease of 48.75 percentage points.
Over: 49% → 0%
-48.8 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
8 outcomes
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 5.5
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 2.5
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: Toronto FC O/U 2.5
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
100%
+68.0 pp
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: Orlando City SC O/U 4.5
0%
-49.5 pp
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 8.5
0%
-0.5 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability fell from 48.8% to 0.05%, a decrease of 48.75 percentage points.
Over: 49% → 0%
-48.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe observed probability fell from 48.8% to 0.05%, a decrease of 48.75 percentage points.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Over: 48.8% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 48.8% to 0.05% (-48.75 percentage points). Observations were 37 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 00:59:43 UTC to 2026-10-15 01:36:55 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Toronto FC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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