Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlySpread: St. Louis City SC (-3.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 4.8 percentage points from 95.2% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
St. Louis City SC: 95% → 100%
+4.8 pp