Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyD.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
The observed probability fell from 49.4% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.35 percentage points.
Over: 49% → 0%
-49.4 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Current leader
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6 outcomes
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: D.C. United SC 1st Half O/U 1.5
1st Half Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: New York Red Bulls 1st Half O/U 2.5
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 8.5
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: D.C. United SC O/U 4.5
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 7.5
0%
-1.6 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability fell from 49.4% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.35 percentage points.
Over: 49% → 0%
-49.4 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe observed probability fell from 49.4% to 0.05%, a decrease of 49.35 percentage points.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
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Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Over: 49.4% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 49.4% to 0.05% (-49.35 percentage points). Observations were 37 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 00:59:43 UTC to 2026-10-15 01:36:55 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 7:30 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
D.C. United SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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