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Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:30 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move-3.2 pp 24h
24h volume
$4K
Liquidity
$22.6K
Scheduled close

Top candidates

3 outcomes

  • Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5

    +77.0 pp 24h100%
  • Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5

    -3.2 pp 24h0%
  • Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5

    -0.5 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 21.5% at the start of the window.

Over: 22% → 0%

-21.4 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 21.5% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Over: 21.5% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 21.5% to 0.05% (-21.45 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 59 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 02:27:32 UTC to 2026-10-15 02:37:31 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 14 at 8:30 PM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 5%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 39.9%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Surge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 24%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Surge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 46.75%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 35.25%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Surge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 48.95%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 35.95%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Plunge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Chicago Fire FC O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 16%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Surge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 47.3%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

Surge

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 36.8%

Chicago Fire FC vs. Philadelphia Union - More Markets

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Source market

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