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activeSports-60.6 pp 24h

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.

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Current leader
3.7% 4%
Largest 24h move
-60.6 pp
24h volume
508.8
Liquidity
704.7

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?

4%

-60.6 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? — probability falls to 3.7%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 3.7%, down 5.7 percentage points from 9.4% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Latest update

Will Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? — probability falls to 3.7%

The tracked probability fell to 3.7%, down 5.7 percentage points from 9.4% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 9.4% to 3.7% (-5.7 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 25 seconds apart: 2026-10-07 05:31:37 UTC to 2026-10-07 06:01:02 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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