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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Player Props

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move-2.8 pp 24h
24h volume
$12.9
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

7 outcomes

  • Chase DeLauter: Home Runs O/U 0.5

    +95.5 pp 24h100%

  • Drew Rasmussen: Strikeouts O/U 6.5

    +80.5 pp 24h100%

  • Chase DeLauter: Total Bases O/U 1.5

    +79.0 pp 24h100%

  • Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 0.5

    -2.8 pp 24h0%

  • Jo Adell: Home Runs O/U 1.5

    -1.9 pp 24h0%
Show all outcomes

  • Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 1.5

    0%

    -1.9 pp

  • Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.5

    0%

    -1.9 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 49.95 percentage points to 0.05%, from 50%.

Over: 50% → 0%

-50.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 49.95 percentage points to 0.05%, from 50%.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.

    The measured move

    Over: 50.0% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 50% to 0.05% (-49.95 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 30 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 02:50:58 UTC to 2026-10-13 03:20:28 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Player prop markets for the MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00 PM ET.

Living timeline · 4 significant updates

Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Player Props

Plunge

Jo Adell: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Player Props

Plunge

Jonathan Aranda: Home Runs O/U 1.5 — probability falls to 0%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Player Props

Plunge

Steven Kwan: Home Runs O/U 0.5 — probability falls to 0.05%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Player Props

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Source market

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