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Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move-9.4 pp 24h
24h volume
$15.3K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)

    +82.5 pp 24h100%

  • Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

    -9.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — probability falls to 0.05%

This outcome moved down 51.95 percentage points, from 52% to 0.05%.

Yes: 52% → 0%

-52.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

This outcome moved down 51.95 percentage points, from 52% to 0.05%.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The figures come from the observed market prices over the stated window. They show a change in pricing, without identifying the event or information that prompted it.

    The measured move

    Yes: 52.0% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 52% to 0.05% (-51.95 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 15 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 02:40:22 UTC to 2026-10-13 03:10:37 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Read the complete resolution rules

However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — probability falls to 0.05%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Plunge

Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays — probability falls to 52%

Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

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Source market

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