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activeSports+77.5 pp 24h

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

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Current leader
100%Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 5.5
Largest 24h move
+77.5 pp
24h volume
29K
Liquidity
10.2K

Top candidates

7 outcomes

Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 5.5

100%

+72.0 pp 24h

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

100%

+77.5 pp 24h

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

100%

+69.5 pp 24h

Cleveland Guardians Team Total: O/U 4.5

100%

+62.0 pp 24h

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

100%

+58.0 pp 24h

Show all outcomes

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

96%

+58.5 pp

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)

95%

+68.0 pp

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Read the complete resolution rules

However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) — probability rises to 95%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.

Story so far

Published update

The tracked probability rose to 95%, up 5.5 percentage points from 89.5% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.

This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.

Latest published update

Published

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) — probability rises to 95%

The tracked probability rose to 95%, up 5.5 percentage points from 89.5% in the latest observation window. Why the probability rose is not established by the evidence attached to this update.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The figures show how the market's recorded probability changed over this window. They do not identify a catalyst or verify the eventual outcome.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 89.5% to 95% (+5.5 percentage points). Observations were 20 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-09 02:52:38 UTC to 2026-10-09 03:13:01 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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