This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the American League at any position, including the utility award.
Current leader
89.9%
90%
2 outcomes
Will Dillon Dingler win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?
Will Ezequiel Duran win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 26.8%, up 10.7 percentage points from 16.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 16% → 27%
+10.7 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 26.8%, up 10.7 percentage points from 16.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 16.15% to 26.8% (+10.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:19:32.293Z to 2026-10-20T21:33:27.573Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 16.15% → 26.8%
Probability moved from 16.15% to 26.8% (+10.65 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 55 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 21:19:32 UTC to 2026-10-20 21:33:27 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 26.9% to 16.15% (-10.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z to 2026-10-20T20:51:55.691Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.55% to 23.95% (+6.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:31:48.088Z to 2026-10-19T02:47:02.810Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 39.55% to 17.55% (-22 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:01:14.578Z to 2026-10-19T02:18:02.573Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 57.25% to 39.55% (-17.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T01:47:04.748Z to 2026-10-19T02:01:14.578Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 49.4% to 58.75% (+9.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T00:45:47.137Z to 2026-10-19T01:01:36.587Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 94.4% to 47.65% (-46.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T19:18:01.755Z to 2026-10-18T19:31:14.451Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 85.6% to 89.95% (+4.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T08:16:02.908Z to 2026-10-18T08:31:50.160Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins a 2026 Rawlings Gold Glove Award for the American League at any position, including the utility award.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no official 2026 American League Rawlings Gold Glove Award winners are announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rawlings and Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Ezequiel Duran win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award? — probability rises to 26.8%
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