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Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC - 1st Half Exact Score

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Tigres de la UANL and Deportivo Toluca FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Tigres de la UANL vs.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+87.1 pp 24h
24h volume
$548.1
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • 1st Half Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 2 - 1 Deportivo Toluca FC?

    +87.1 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

1st Half Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 2 - 1 Deportivo Toluca FC? — probability rises to 100%

The tracked probability rose to 100%, up 9.5 percentage points from 90.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 91% → 100%

+9.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 90.4%, down 9.6 percentage points from 99.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Yes: 90.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 1 second apart: 2026-10-10 07:00:26 UTC to 2026-10-10 07:10:26 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming Liga MX game between Tigres de la UANL and Deportivo Toluca FC, scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Tigres de la UANL vs.

Deportivo Toluca FC match originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

1st Half Exact Score: Tigres de la UANL 2 - 1 Deportivo Toluca FC? — probability rises to 100%

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