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Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 7?

By PolySays EditorialReporting published Editorial method

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 7, 2026 is higher than the listed price.

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Current leader
14%Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 7?
Largest 24h move
-70.0 pp
24h volume
88.2
Liquidity
2.1K

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 7?

14%

-70.0 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 7, 2026 is higher than the listed price.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.

If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price.

Read the complete resolution rules

If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 7? — probability falls to 15%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Latest chart observation: . Reporting is updated separately.

Story so far

Published update

The tracked probability fell to 15%, down 5.0 percentage points from 20% in the latest observation window. The price decrease is recorded; its cause remains unverified.

This summary reflects the reporting below. Market odds can change between published updates.

Latest published update

Published

Will Meta (META) close above $730 on October 7? — probability falls to 15%

The tracked probability fell to 15%, down 5.0 percentage points from 20% in the latest observation window. The price decrease is recorded; its cause remains unverified.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No confirmed catalyst is recorded in this summary.

Unresolved questions

  • Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market data establishes the size and direction of the change. A dated source addressing the exact contract would be needed to add an explanation.

    What changed

    Probability moved from 20% to 15% (-5 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 26 seconds apart: 2026-10-07 16:30:07 UTC to 2026-10-07 17:00:33 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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