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Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 14, 2026 is higher than the listed price.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-74.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14?

    -74.5 pp 24h0%

  • Will Meta (META) close above $740 on October 14?

    -84.0 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14? — probability falls to 0.05%

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 9.9 percentage points to 0.05%, from 9.95%.

Yes: 10% → 0%

-9.9 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

This outcome's observed probability decreased by 9.9 percentage points to 0.05%, from 9.95%.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.

    The measured move

    Yes: 10.0% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 9.95% to 0.05% (-9.9 percentage points). Observations were 12 minutes 6 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 19:57:13 UTC to 2026-10-14 20:09:19 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 14, 2026 is higher than the listed price.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.

If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price.

Read the complete resolution rules

If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 5 significant updates

Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14? — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14? — probability falls to 0.05%

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

Plunge

Will Meta (META) close above $740 on October 14? — probability falls to 0.05%

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

Surge

Will Meta (META) close above $740 on October 14? — probability rises to 27%

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

Surge

Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14? — probability rises to 9.95%

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

Plunge

Will Meta (META) close above $740 on October 14? — probability falls to 16.5%

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 14?

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Source market

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