Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 76%
- Largest 24h move
- 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 +6%
- 24h volume
- 4.3K
- Liquidity
- 27.6K
Top candidates
6 outcomes
3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
76%
+6% 24h
4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
28%
0% 24h
5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
19%
0% 24h
7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
13%
+5% 24h
10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
7%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026
5%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 probability of 89%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline