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LPGA: Buick LPGA Shanghai Winner

Post

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament.

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move+84.5 pp 24h

24h volume: $86.6
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 19, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Ruoning Yin win the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai?
+84.5 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 18

Will Soo-Bin Joo win the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai? — probability falls to 0%

The tracked probability fell to 0%, down 8.9 percentage points from 8.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 9% → 0%

-8.9 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 8:02 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 8.95% to 0% (-8.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T07:47:33.427Z to 2026-10-18T08:00:27.764Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 8.95% → 0%
What changed
Probability moved from 8.95% to 0% (-8.95 percentage points). Observations were 12 minutes 54 seconds apart: 2026-10-18 07:47:33 UTC to 2026-10-18 08:00:27 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 7:48 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 8.7% to 0% (-8.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T07:31:27.906Z to 2026-10-18T07:47:33.427Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.2% to 0% (-9.2 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:47:26.969Z to 2026-10-18T07:01:53.244Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.2% to 0.05% (-9.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:47:26.969Z to 2026-10-18T07:01:53.244Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.4% to 0% (-9.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:32:25.070Z to 2026-10-18T06:47:26.969Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.4% to 0.05% (-9.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:32:25.070Z to 2026-10-18T06:47:26.969Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 6:34 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.45% to 0% (-9.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:15:08.002Z to 2026-10-18T06:32:25.070Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 6:34 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.45% to 0% (-9.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T06:15:08.002Z to 2026-10-18T06:32:25.070Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves No

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament. If an unlisted player wins the Buick LPGA Shanghai tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by LPGA Tour official tournament rules.

If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 25, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the LPGA Tour website (.

Maps and resolution sources

lpga.comlpga.com

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Soo-Bin Joo win the 2026 Buick LPGA Shanghai? — probability falls to 0%

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