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LoL: Galions vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+40.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

    +40.5 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? — probability rises to 100%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 100%, compared with 90.5% at the start of the window.

Yes: 91% → 100%

+9.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 90.5%, down 9.0 percentage points from 99.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Yes: 90.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 22 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 19:30:43 UTC to 2026-10-13 20:00:05 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Galions and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "⁠Movistar KOI Fénix" if ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Galions.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET).

Read the complete resolution rules

If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from.

However, if has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.

Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.

If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon? — probability rises to 100%

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