Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- Current leader
- Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) 27%
- Largest 24h move
- Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) -1%
- 24h volume
- 190.8
- Liquidity
- 184K
Top candidates
9 outcomes
Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV)
27%
-1% 24h
Progresīvie (PRO)
22%
+1% 24h
Jaunā Vienotība (JV)
14%
0% 24h
Apvienotais Saraksts (AS)
12%
0% 24h
Nacionālā Apvienība (NA)
11%
-0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Suverēnā Vara (SV)
8%
-1%
Stabilitātei! (ST!)
1%
0%
Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS)
1%
-0%
Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija "Saskaņa" (S)
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
Read the complete resolution rules
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) probability of 35%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline