By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00 AM ET.
Current leader
35%
35%
1 outcome
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 34%, up 4.0 percentage points from 30% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 30% → 34%
+4.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 34%, up 4.0 percentage points from 30% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 30% to 34% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T17:02:40.883Z to 2026-10-19T17:32:40.438Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 30% → 34%
Probability moved from 30% to 34% (+4 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes apart: 2026-10-19 17:02:40 UTC to 2026-10-19 17:32:40 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 39.5% to 30% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T14:15:26.435Z to 2026-10-18T14:30:36.489Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 26.5% to 37% (+10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T17:16:13.133Z to 2026-10-17T17:30:45.685Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 22% to 25.5% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T08:02:51.048Z to 2026-10-17T08:17:41.057Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 34% to 23% (-11 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T00:02:20.884Z to 2026-10-17T00:15:53.255Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:00 AM ET.
Living timeline · 6 significant updates
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 — probability rises to 34%
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