By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.
Current leader
9.5%
10%
1 outcome
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
MonitoringMonitoring onlyYes moved higher from 18.5% to 31.0% (+12.5 points) between 2026-07-22T08:00:07.449Z and 2026-07-23T08:00:07.449Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Yes: 19% → 31%
+12.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedYes moved higher from 18.5% to 31.0% (+12.5 points) between 2026-07-22T08:00:07.449Z and 2026-07-23T08:00:07.449Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
Odds chart
Living timeline
The "Yes" outcome in "Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?" made a sharp move from 18.5% to 31.0% between 2026-07-22T08:00:07.449Z and 2026-07-23T08:00:07.449Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
The measured move
Yes: 18.5% → 31.0%
The market repriced by +12.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken (US-based cryptocurrency exchange) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.
Resolves No
If Kraken merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Kraken to the public on any recognized stock exchange. This market will resolve early if Kraken completes an IPO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Living timeline · 8 significant updates
Kraken IPO jumps: Yes odds 18.5% → 31%
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