Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 88%
- Leader 24h
- +9%
- Volume
- 52.4K
- Liquidity
- 1.1K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
88%
+9% 24h
Yes
13%
-9% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here:. If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
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Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 90%.
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