activeEconomy+7% 24h

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

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Current leader
No 62%
Leader 24h
+7%
24h volume
31.9
Liquidity
4.8K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

62%

+7% 24h

Yes

39%

-7% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

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Odds chart

Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 68%.

Story so far

Still building

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There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

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