By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the Japan J.
Current leader
100%
100%
3 outcomes
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5)
Tōkyō Verdy vs. FC Tōkyō: FC Tōkyō O/U 2.5
Tōkyō Verdy vs. FC Tōkyō: FC Tōkyō O/U 4.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 8.5 percentage points from 91.5% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
FC Tōkyō: 92% → 100%
+8.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 8.5 percentage points from 91.5% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 91.5% to 100% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T06:45:19.657Z to 2026-10-17T07:17:53.738Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
FC Tōkyō: 91.5% → 100%
Probability moved from 91.5% to 100% (+8.5 percentage points). Observations were 32 minutes 34 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 06:45:19 UTC to 2026-10-17 07:17:53 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.05% (-49.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T06:45:19.657Z to 2026-10-17T07:02:41.301Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 24.9% to 48.75% (+23.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T01:32:32.097Z to 2026-10-17T02:00:10.057Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.35% to 24.9% (+23.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T01:01:35.830Z to 2026-10-17T01:17:07.257Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 24.95% to 1.8% (-23.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T19:47:11.281Z to 2026-10-16T20:00:58.117Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.4% to 25.9% (-23.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T08:46:24.405Z to 2026-10-16T09:03:22.605Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Japan J. League game, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00 AM ET.
Living timeline · 10 significant updates
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-2.5) — probability rises to 100%
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