activeSportsCloses Jan 27

Pro Football: Jalen Hurts 2026-27 Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number.

Current leader

2.3%

Largest 24h move-2.4 pp 24h

24h volume: $64.5
Liquidity: $1.1K
Scheduled close: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
-2.4 pp 24h2%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 20

Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 4.85%

The tracked probability rose to 4.85%, up 3.1 percentage points from 1.7% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 2% → 5%

+3.1 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 6:17 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.7% to 4.85% (+3.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T06:00:09.968Z to 2026-10-20T06:16:27.753Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 1.7% → 4.85%
What changed
Probability moved from 1.7% to 4.85% (+3.15 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 18 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 06:00:09 UTC to 2026-10-20 06:16:27 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 5:48 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 5.5% to 1.5% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T05:32:51.585Z to 2026-10-20T05:47:09.607Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 2:20 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 19.5% to 10.5% (-9 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T14:01:09.245Z to 2026-10-19T14:17:41.465Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 18% to 27% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T23:01:39.038Z to 2026-10-18T23:17:19.620Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 13.5% to 19% (+5.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T22:16:38.857Z to 2026-10-18T22:31:28.518Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 22% to 15.5% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:15:48.319Z to 2026-10-18T16:31:46.109Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 13.5% to 22% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:01:46.960Z to 2026-10-18T16:15:48.319Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 20% to 13.5% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T15:31:01.052Z to 2026-10-18T15:45:28.392Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing touchdowns Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Jalen Hurts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing touchdowns Jalen Hurts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Jalen Hurts have 16.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 4.85%

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