By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Valentin Gonzalez-Galino in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET.
Current leader
0%
0%
1 outcome
M15 Heraklion: Julio Cesar Porras vs Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
VolumeMonitoring onlyProbability remained at 0.05%. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $1,514.9187 to $17,574.5087. The cause is not established.
Julio Cesar Porras: 0% → 0%
0.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedProbability remained at 0.05%. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $1,514.9187 to $17,574.5087. The cause is not established.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability remained at 0.05% (0 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T10:34:13.027Z to 2026-10-16T10:47:51.784Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Julio Cesar Porras: 0.05% → 0.05%
Probability remained at 0.05% (0 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 39 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 10:34:13 UTC to 2026-10-16 10:47:51 UTC. The move also met PolySays' high-volume-shock threshold. Reported rolling 24-hour volume changed from $1,514.9187 to $17,574.5087.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.55% to 0.05% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T07:03:32.838Z to 2026-10-16T07:19:15.317Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.5% to 6.55% (+3.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T06:49:01.586Z to 2026-10-16T07:03:32.838Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 11.5% to 3.5% (-8 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T06:30:56.696Z to 2026-10-16T06:49:01.586Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the tennis match between Julio Cesar Porras and Valentin Gonzalez-Galino in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julio Cesar Porras' if Julio Cesar Porras advances against Valentin Gonzalez-Galino. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Gonzalez-Galino' if Valentin Gonzalez-Galino advances against Julio Cesar Porras.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
M15 Heraklion: Julio Cesar Porras vs Valentin Gonzalez-Galino — probability holds at 0.05%
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PlungeM15 Heraklion: Julio Cesar Porras vs Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
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