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PlungeMonitoring onlyM25 Solapur: Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani — probability falls to 0.55%
The observed probability fell from 49.75% to 0.55%, a decrease of 49.2 percentage points.
Ryuki Matsuda: 50% → 1%
-49.2 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Maan Kesharwani in the M25 Solapur, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30AM ET.
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1 outcome
M25 Solapur: Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability fell from 49.75% to 0.55%, a decrease of 49.2 percentage points.
Ryuki Matsuda: 50% → 1%
-49.2 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe observed probability fell from 49.75% to 0.55%, a decrease of 49.2 percentage points.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
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Living timeline
The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.
The measured move
Ryuki Matsuda: 49.8% → 0.5%
Probability moved from 49.75% to 0.55% (-49.2 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 37 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 21:30:09 UTC to 2026-10-13 21:40:46 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
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Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Maan Kesharwani in the M25 Solapur, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Maan Kesharwani. This market will resolve to 'Maan Kesharwani' if Maan Kesharwani advances against Ryuki Matsuda.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
M25 Solapur: Ryuki Matsuda vs Maan Kesharwani — probability falls to 0.55%
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