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M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Jelle Sels in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+40.3 pp 24h
24h volume
$1K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels

    +40.3 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels — probability rises to 100%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 100%, compared with 90.5% at the start of the window.

Adrien Gobat: 91% → 100%

+9.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The observed probability rose from 75% to 90.5%, an increase of 15.5 percentage points.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Adrien Gobat: 90.5% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 44 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 19:10:38 UTC to 2026-10-13 19:20:22 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrien Gobat and Jelle Sels in the M15+H Rodez, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrien Gobat' if Adrien Gobat advances against Jelle Sels. This market will resolve to 'Jelle Sels' if Jelle Sels advances against Adrien Gobat.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 3 significant updates

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels — probability rises to 100%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Surge

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels — probability rises to 100%

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels

Surge

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels — probability rises to 90.5%

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels

Plunge

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels — probability falls to 75%

M15+H Rodez: Adrien Gobat vs Jelle Sels

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