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How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 11, 2026, 8:52 AM UTCEditorial method

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move-0.5 pp 24h

24h volume: $170.1
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

3 outcomes

Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?
+0.7 pp 24h100%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?
-0.5 pp 24h0%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?
-0.1 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 11

Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week? — probability falls to 2.85%

The tracked probability fell to 2.85%, down 27.1 percentage points from 29.95% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 30% → 3%

-27.1 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 29.9% → 2.9%
What changed
Probability moved from 29.95% to 2.85% (-27.1 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 38 seconds apart: 2026-10-11 08:42:31 UTC to 2026-10-11 08:52:09 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix.

If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

Read the complete resolution rules

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week? — probability falls to 2.85%

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