By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThis outcome's observed probability increased by 14.85 percentage points to 99%, from 84.15%.
Yes: 84% → 99%
+14.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThis outcome's observed probability increased by 14.85 percentage points to 99%, from 84.15%.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
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Odds chart
Living timeline
The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.
The measured move
Yes: 84.2% → 99.0%
Probability moved from 84.15% to 99% (+14.85 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 5 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 03:30:44 UTC to 2026-10-13 03:40:49 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the movie that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie, according to Netflix.
If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views figure falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will not consider hours viewed. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used to determine the final figure.
Living timeline · 10 significant updates
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have between 20 and 24 million views this week? — probability rises to 99%
Keep exploring
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
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PlungeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
PlungeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
SurgeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
SurgeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
SurgeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
PlungeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
SurgeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
PlungeHow many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
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