activePoliticsUnited Russia -4% 24h

How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

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Current leader
United Russia 34%
Largest 24h move
United Russia -4%
24h volume
1.5K
Liquidity
120.7K

Top candidates

7 outcomes

United Russia

34%

-4% 24h

United Russia

33%

+2% 24h

United Russia

13%

-1% 24h

United Russia

11%

+0% 24h

United Russia

5%

+0% 24h

Show all outcomes

United Russia

4%

+2%

United Russia

2%

+1%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest United Russia probability of 23%.

Story so far

Still building

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Latest update

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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Unresolved questions

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

Significant updates

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