How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
- Current leader
- United Russia 34%
- Largest 24h move
- United Russia -4%
- 24h volume
- 1.5K
- Liquidity
- 120.7K
Top candidates
7 outcomes
United Russia
34%
-4% 24h
United Russia
33%
+2% 24h
United Russia
13%
-1% 24h
United Russia
11%
+0% 24h
United Russia
5%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
United Russia
4%
+2%
United Russia
2%
+1%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest United Russia probability of 23%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline