How long will downtown LA's 100°F streak last?
"Seven or more" resolves to "Yes" if the streak reaches seven days or longer.
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- Current leader
- 75%Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?
- Largest 24h move
- -82.0 pp
- 24h volume
- 4.1K
- Liquidity
- 777.9
Top candidates
2 outcomes
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly five days?
75%
+61.2 pp 24h
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly four days?
1%
-82.0 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
"Seven or more" resolves to "Yes" if the streak reaches seven days or longer.
This market resolves according to the length, in consecutive calendar days, of the streak of days with a daily maximum temperature of 100°F or higher at Downtown Los Angeles that began on October 2, 2026. The streak ends on the first calendar day on which the daily maximum temperature is below 100°F, and this market resolves to the total number of consecutive days in the streak.
The streak had already reached four days when this market was created, so it cannot total fewer than four. A daily maximum of exactly 100°F extends the streak. For example, if the daily maximum is 100°F on October 6 and 99°F on October 7, the streak totals five days and this market resolves to "Five".
Read the complete resolution rules
The resolution source for this market will be the daily maximum temperature (the "MAX" column) for Downtown Los Angeles in the National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard Preliminary Local Climatological Data report, available at. Values are published in whole degrees Fahrenheit and are used exactly as published, with no rounding or adjustment.
Readings from any other Los Angeles station, including Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), do not count. The report is preliminary; this market will not resolve until two days after the streak-ending day's value is published, and any correction issued in that window governs.
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