This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount.
Current leader
56.5%
56%
1 outcome
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 56.5%, down 15.5 percentage points from 72% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 72% → 56%
-15.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 72%, up 13.0 percentage points from 59% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 72% to 56.5% (-15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T13:13:27.594Z to 2026-10-28T13:33:42.215Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 72% → 56.5%
Probability moved from 72% to 56.5% (-15.5 percentage points). Observations were 20 minutes 15 seconds apart: 2026-10-28 13:13:27 UTC to 2026-10-28 13:33:42 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 59% to 72% (+13 percentage points), from 2026-10-28T12:22:24.973Z to 2026-10-28T13:13:27.594Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album" (Rockstar Games / Atlantic Records) is expected to release November 19, 2026. If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week.
If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k? — probability falls to 56.5%
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