Golden Joystick Awards presents its "Ultimate Game of the Year" award annually, honoring the best overall game across all platforms as voted by the public.
Current leader
0.5%
1%
4 outcomes
Will "Pragmata" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Will "Valheim" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Will "The Blood of Dawnwalker" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Will "Onimusha: Way of the Sword" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.55%, down 10.0 percentage points from 10.55% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 11% → 1%
-10.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.55%, down 10.0 percentage points from 10.55% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 10.55% to 0.55% (-10 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z to 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 10.55% → 0.55%
Probability moved from 10.55% to 0.55% (-10 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 35 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 02:30:47 UTC to 2026-10-21 02:46:22 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7.4% to 10.55% (+3.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:17:52.020Z to 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 7.9% to 4.3% (-3.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z to 2026-10-20T20:51:55.691Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.5% to 7.9% (+4.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:17:53.815Z to 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 7.15% to 3.5% (-3.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:32:00.001Z to 2026-10-20T11:01:46.732Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 10.1% (+7.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:00:36.194Z to 2026-10-20T10:17:52.816Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.65% to 3.5% (-3.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:30:12.976Z to 2026-10-20T08:45:38.253Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.8% to 3.7% (-3.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T08:01:12.859Z to 2026-10-20T08:19:56.494Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves No
If a game is not officially shortlisted for the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year when the shortlist is announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
Golden Joystick Awards presents its "Ultimate Game of the Year" award annually, honoring the best overall game across all platforms as voted by the public. The 2026 Golden Joystick Awards are scheduled to be presented on November 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Golden Joystick Award for Ultimate Game of the Year.
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Golden Joystick Awards, including data from their website (e.g., and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will "Pragmata" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards? — probability falls to 0.55%
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