More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
Current leader
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3 outcomes
FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: FC Lorient O/U 3.5
FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: AS Monaco FC O/U 4.5
FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 6.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 34.8 percentage points from 34.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 35% → 0%
-34.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 34.8 percentage points from 34.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 34.8% to 0.05% (-34.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z to 2026-10-18T17:16:43.110Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 34.8% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 34.8% to 0.05% (-34.75 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 9 seconds apart: 2026-10-18 17:02:34 UTC to 2026-10-18 17:16:43 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.05% (-49.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z to 2026-10-18T17:16:43.110Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.45% to 0.05% (-49.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z to 2026-10-18T17:16:43.110Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.25% to 34.8% (+34.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:46:14.944Z to 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.5% to 50% (+48.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:46:14.944Z to 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 18.5% to 49.45% (+30.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:46:14.944Z to 2026-10-18T17:02:34.096Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 33.2% to 0.25% (-32.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:31:46.109Z to 2026-10-18T16:46:14.944Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 13.5% to 18.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T16:31:46.109Z to 2026-10-18T16:46:14.944Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 6.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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