activeSportsCloses Oct 18

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026.

Current leader

11.5%

11%

Largest 24h move+6.5 pp 24h

24h volume: $0
Liquidity: $221.1
Scheduled close: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
+6.5 pp 24h11%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 21

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? — probability rises to 11.45%

The tracked probability rose to 11.45%, up 6.4 percentage points from 5.05% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 5% → 11%

+6.4 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.05% to 11.45% (+6.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 5.05% → 11.45%
What changed
Probability moved from 5.05% to 11.45% (+6.4 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 7:11 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 12.5% to 5.05% (-7.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 1:49 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 7.5% to 12.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T13:32:57.562Z to 2026-10-20T13:46:59.633Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 12:49 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 11.85% to 4% (-7.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T12:30:12.712Z to 2026-10-20T12:46:49.756Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 2.4% to 11.55% (+9.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:31:11.217Z to 2026-10-20T11:46:20.282Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 12.05% to 2.4% (-9.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:15:49.928Z to 2026-10-20T11:31:11.217Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 11:19 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 4% to 12.05% (+8.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T11:01:46.732Z to 2026-10-20T11:15:49.928Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 10:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 12.05% to 4.7% (-7.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T10:32:00.001Z to 2026-10-20T10:47:08.687Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a safety car is deployed at any point during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 11, 2026.

Resolves No

The market will resolve to "No" if the race is completed without any safety car deployment.

If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 18, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Virtual Safety Car (VSC) deployments do not count as safety car deployments for the purpose of this market. Only physical safety car deployments where the safety car enters the track will result in a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? — probability rises to 11.45%

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