closedCrypto

Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 13, 2026, 3:32 PM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 13 '26 12:00 ET candle.

Current leader

Largest 24h move-46.9 pp 24h

24h volume: $67.3K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 13, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Ethereum Up or Down on October 13?
-46.9 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 13

Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? — probability falls to 3.9%

This outcome moved down 11.6 percentage points, from 15.5% to 3.9%.

Up: 16% → 4%

-11.6 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The figures come from the observed market prices over the stated window. They show a change in pricing, without identifying the event or information that prompted it.
The measured move
Up: 15.5% → 3.9%
What changed
Probability moved from 15.5% to 3.9% (-11.6 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 27 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 15:22:58 UTC to 2026-10-13 15:32:24 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

Read the complete resolution rules

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.