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Ethereum price on October 13?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-23.4 pp 24h
24h volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13?

    -23.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 1.1%

The tracked probability fell to 1.1%, down 5.9 percentage points from 7% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 7% → 1%

-5.9 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 1.1%, down 5.9 percentage points from 7% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Yes: 7.0% → 1.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 7% to 1.1% (-5.9 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 53 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 15:42:47 UTC to 2026-10-13 15:52:40 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 1.1%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 1.1%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Surge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability rises to 7%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 3%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 7.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 13.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 16.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 20%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 29%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Surge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability rises to 36.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 32.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Plunge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability falls to 44%

Ethereum price on October 13?

Surge

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13? — probability rises to 47.5%

Ethereum price on October 13?

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